Bump version to 3.5.0

CHANGELOG.md

@@ -7,6 +7,8 @@ and this project adheres to [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/spec/v2.0.0
 
 ## [Unreleased]
 
+## [3.5.0] - 2026-06-01
+
 ### Added
 - **PowerAnalysis methodology-review-tracker promotion: In Progress → Complete, with a panel-variance correction (behavior change).** Closes the Bloom (1995) + Burlig, Preonas & Woerman (2020) source audits on the tracker (PR-A #506 added both paper reviews + under-review Notes; this PR validates the source against the code and reconciles the discrepancies). **Behavior change:** the analytical *panel* DiD variance was the Moulton design-effect factor `(1+(T−1)·rho)/T`, wrong two ways versus the source — wrong period-scaling (~4× too small at `rho=0`, `m=r=5` versus the iid DiD benchmark) and the **opposite `rho`-sign** (it *raised* the MDE as within-unit correlation grew). It is replaced by the within-unit equicorrelated special case of Burlig et al. Eq. 2, `Var(ATT) = sigma² · (1/n_T + 1/n_C) · (1/n_pre + 1/n_post) · (1 − rho)`, in which within-unit (serial) correlation *lowers* the MDE because the difference-in-differences cancels the shared within-unit component. So `PowerAnalysis.mde` / `power` / `sample_size` (and the `compute_*` wrappers) now return a **smaller** MDE / required N as `rho` rises for **all** designs; the 2×2 path matches Bloom's `2σ²` at the default `rho = 0` and is continuous with the panel form at `n_pre = n_post = 1`. New input validation, enforced for **all** designs *before* the 2×2-vs-panel router: `n_pre >= 1`, `n_post >= 1`, `rho ∈ [−1/(T−1), 1)` (`T = n_pre + n_post`), finite `sigma >= 0`, positive group counts, and `treat_frac ∈ (0, 1)` now raise `ValueError` (previously invalid two-period shapes and out-of-range `rho` fell through to `basic_did` silently). The `(1 − rho)` factor applies at `T = 2` too — the 2×2 path is Burlig's `m = r = 1` special case (footnote 11), so a nonzero `rho` is no longer silently ignored there, while `rho = 0` still recovers Bloom's `2σ²`. The MDE multiplier stays the **normal (z)** Bloom multiplier (a deliberate large-sample approximation to Burlig's t, documented as `**Deviation from R:**`) — unchanged. New `tests/test_methodology_power.py` (Bloom Table 1 multipliers; 2×2 + panel closed forms; a literal-equicorrelated Monte-Carlo validation of the panel variance; `sample_size`↔`mde` round-trip; input-guard + `rho`-at-`T=2` + `compute_*` wrapper validation; base-R `qnorm` parity at `benchmarks/data/r_power_golden.json`, generator `benchmarks/R/generate_power_golden.R`); the two `tests/test_power.py` ICC-direction tests were inverted to Burlig's sign. REGISTRY `## PowerAnalysis` equation block rewritten (z not t; corrected 2×2 / panel SE + sample-size; removed the cluster-`m` and inverted-`R²` terms that matched neither code nor source); `docs/references.rst` adds Frison & Pocock (1992) + McKenzie (2012) as the equicorrelated lineage; tutorial `06_power_analysis.ipynb` corrected. `METHODOLOGY_REVIEW.md` row promoted to **Complete** (`Last Review = 2026-05-31`); priority queue pruned; the PR-A under-review Notes removed across REGISTRY / `power.py` / `references.rst`.
 - **`WooldridgeDiD` outcome-fit hint:** `WooldridgeDiD(method="ols")` now emits a `UserWarning` when the outcome is binary (`{0, 1}`) or a non-negative integer count, noting that a matching nonlinear model (`method="logit"` / `method="poisson"`) is often the **more appropriate specification** for such outcomes. Following Wooldridge (2023): the nonlinear paths impose parallel trends on the link/index scale rather than in levels (level-PT is only valid for continuous/unbounded outcomes), and the paper's Section 5 simulations show the linear model both biased and less precise where the nonlinear mean holds. It is a **different identifying assumption** than linear OLS — which one fits depends on which parallel-trends restriction holds — so the warning frames it as a recommended comparison, not an automatic switch or free efficiency upgrade. OLS remains a valid QMLE for *any* response (Table 1). Always-on (suppress via `warnings.filterwarnings`); detection is high-signal (binary requires exactly `{0, 1}`; the count branch suggests Poisson — the natural unbounded-count model — for *any* non-negative integers with >2 distinct values, so bounded binomial / known-upper-bound integer outcomes are not separately distinguished from unbounded counts; fractional / continuous outcomes are not flagged).
@@ -1537,6 +1539,7 @@ for the full feature history leading to this release.
 [2.1.2]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v2.1.1...v2.1.2
 [2.1.1]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v2.1.0...v2.1.1
 [2.1.0]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v2.0.3...v2.1.0
+[3.5.0]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v3.4.2...v3.5.0
 [3.4.2]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v3.4.1...v3.4.2
 [3.4.1]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v3.4.0...v3.4.1
 [3.4.0]: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff/compare/v3.3.3...v3.4.0

CITATION.cff

@@ -7,8 +7,8 @@ authors:
     family-names: Gerber
     orcid: "https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3275-5591"
 license: MIT
-version: "3.4.2"
-date-released: "2026-05-25"
+version: "3.5.0"
+date-released: "2026-06-01"
 doi: "10.5281/zenodo.19646175"
 url: "https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff"
 repository-code: "https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff"

diff_diff/__init__.py

@@ -298,7 +298,7 @@
 DCDH = ChaisemartinDHaultfoeuille
 HAD = HeterogeneousAdoptionDiD
 
-__version__ = "3.4.2"
+__version__ = "3.5.0"
 __all__ = [
     # Estimators
     "DifferenceInDifferences",

diff_diff/guides/llms-full.txt

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
 
 > A Python library for Difference-in-Differences causal inference analysis. Provides sklearn-like estimators with statsmodels-style output for econometric analysis.
 
-- Version: 3.4.2
+- Version: 3.5.0
 - Repository: https://github.com/igerber/diff-diff
 - License: MIT
 - Dependencies: numpy, pandas, scipy (no statsmodels dependency)

pyproject.toml

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ build-backend = "maturin"
 
 [project]
 name = "diff-diff"
-version = "3.4.2"
+version = "3.5.0"
 description = "Difference-in-Differences causal inference with sklearn-like API. Callaway-Sant'Anna, Synthetic DiD, Honest DiD, event studies, parallel trends."
 readme = "README.md"
 license = "MIT"

rust/Cargo.toml

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 [package]
 name = "diff_diff_rust"
-version = "3.4.2"
+version = "3.5.0"
 edition = "2021"
 rust-version = "1.85"
 description = "Rust backend for diff-diff DiD library"